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Oct 15, 2024

Do Its Financials Have Any Role To Play In Driving Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co., Ltd's (SZSE:000708) Stock Up Recently? - Simply Wall St News

Stock Analysis Citic Pacific Special Steel Group (SZSE:000708) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 24% over the last month. We wonder if and what role the

Stock Analysis

Citic Pacific Special Steel Group (SZSE:000708) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 24% over the last month. We wonder if and what role the company's financials play in that price change as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. In this article, we decided to focus on Citic Pacific Special Steel Group's ROE.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

View our latest analysis for Citic Pacific Special Steel Group

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Citic Pacific Special Steel Group is:

14% = CN¥5.6b ÷ CN¥42b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.14.

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

To begin with, Citic Pacific Special Steel Group seems to have a respectable ROE. Especially when compared to the industry average of 7.7% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. Despite this, Citic Pacific Special Steel Group's five year net income growth was quite low averaging at only 2.8%. This is generally not the case as when a company has a high rate of return it should usually also have a high earnings growth rate. A few likely reasons why this could happen is that the company could have a high payout ratio or the business has allocated capital poorly, for instance.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Citic Pacific Special Steel Group's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 10% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about Citic Pacific Special Steel Group's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Citic Pacific Special Steel Group has a three-year median payout ratio of 52% (implying that it keeps only 48% of its profits), meaning that it pays out most of its profits to shareholders as dividends, and as a result, the company has seen low earnings growth.

Moreover, Citic Pacific Special Steel Group has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 74% over the next three years. Regardless, the ROE is not expected to change much for the company despite the higher expected payout ratio.

Overall, we feel that Citic Pacific Special Steel Group certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a high rate of return. Investors could have benefitted from the high ROE, had the company been reinvesting more of its earnings. As discussed earlier, the company is retaining a small portion of its profits. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

CITIC Pacific Special Steel Group Co., Ltd manufactures and sells steel materials in China.